Statistically Speaking: EMU Edition

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It has been said that there are three kinds of lies:  lies, damned lies and statistics.

Comparing statistics at this point is like comparing apples and baseballs.  Penn State has faced the likes of Alabama and Temple.  Yes–Temple.  EMU has faced THEM and Alabama State, neither of which compares equally with Alabama.  And Temple could probably beat Howard and Alabama State worse than Eastern Michigan did.

Ordinarily, I don’t start publishing these stats until we hit Big Ten season, but when I looked at them this past week, I did a double take.

Statistically speaking, EMU is comparable to Penn State, the difference in competition notwithstanding.

NCAA Stats Comparison
Category: PSU EMU
Rushing 66 6
Passing Offense 106 118
Total Offense 103 83
Scoring Offense 90 100
Rushing Defense 42 75
Turnovers Gained 31 64
Passes Had Intercepted 49 72
Pass Defense 7 11
Net Punting 108 70
Punt Returns 59 35
Kickoff Returns 53 62
Turnover Margin 32 77
Fumbles Recovered 53 53
Passes Intercepted 18 60
Fumbles Lost 35 35
Turnovers Lost 44 65
Passing Efficiency 115 112
Pass Efficiency Defense 11 31
Total Defense 9 29
Scoring Defense 25 29
Fewest Penalties Per Game 41 97
Fewest Yards Penalized Per Game 44 113
Punt Return Yardage Defense 104 29
Kickoff Return Yardage Defense 91 1
Offense Third-down Efficiency 87 83
Offense Fourth-down Efficiency 13 51
Defense Third-down Efficiency 36 89
Defense Fourth-down Efficiency 48 1
Tackles for Loss 76 5
Offense Tackles for Loss 11 73
Pass Sacks 76 16
Pass Sacks Allowed 44 44
Time of Possession 66 64
First Downs 89 97
First Downs Allowed 14 47
Red Zone Efficiency 75 81
Red Zone Efficiency – Defense 106 64
Average NCAA Rank: 56.14 57.89
Weighted Avg. Rank: 59.5 61.75

They are better than we are offensively so far.  Of course, so are 102 other teams.  But defensively, we don’t see the statistical edge that I expected.  In terms of pass defense and scoring defense, the difference is insignificant.

EMU appears to be better special teams-wise.

Seriously?  Three games into the season and we are statistically equal with Eastern Michigan.

Penn State is a 29 point favorite over the Eagles.  Hope we don’t need any last second heroics or goal line stands to pull this one out.


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Filed under Eastern Michigan, football, Penn State, statistics

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